Bungwe la National Fireworks Association (ndi mamembala ake opitilira 1200) likuyimira chidwi cha opanga zozimitsa moto, oitanitsa kunja, ndi ogulitsa pamlingo wadziko lonse pamaso pa opanga malamulo ndi oyang'anira a Federal. Timalimbikitsanso chitetezo ngati chida chachikulu cha makampaniwa. NFA imakhulupirira kugwiritsa ntchito sayansi yomveka bwino polimbikitsa chitetezo cha zida zozimitsa moto, ndipo timagwira ntchito ngati mawu a anthu mamiliyoni ambiri aku America omwe amagwiritsa ntchito zinthu zathu.
Coronavirus yakhudza opanga zozimitsa moto, oitanitsa zinthu kumayiko ena, ogulitsa ndi ogulitsa, ndipo popanda thandizo loyenera komanso lomwe lingakhalepo pa malamulo, kachilomboka kadzakhala ndi zotsatirapo zazikulu pa nyengo ikubwerayi ya zozimitsa moto za 2020 komanso mabizinesi ang'onoang'ono omwe amaitanitsa, kugawa ndi kugulitsa zozimitsa moto.

NFA, pamodzi ndi gulu lathu la ku Washington, DC, ikupitiliza kupereka nkhaniyi ku mabungwe oyenera opanga malamulo ndi owongolera kuti alimbikitse makampani athu:
Pali nkhawa yaikulu yokhudza kuthekera kwa zinthu zophulitsa moto zomwe zimapangidwa ndikutumizidwa ku US kuchokera ku China. Tikufuna kuti Nyumba Yamalamulo iwonetsetse kuti madoko aku US akulandira zombo za makontena awa ndipo ikuika patsogolo kuwunika kwawo kuti achotse makontena mwachangu.

Zozimitsa moto ndi chinthu "chokwera kwambiri" chomwe makampaniwa amafunikira pa Julayi 4. Zingakhale zoopsa ngati madoko alandira ziwiya zambiri zodzaza ndi zozimitsa moto nthawi yomweyo, ndipo sanakonzekere bwino kuzikonza. Kusakhala ndi zinthu kungapangitse kuchedwa kwina komanso komwe kungakhale koopsa, zomwe zingalepheretse kuti zinthuzo zisatuluke m'madoko ndikupita m'masitolo ndi m'nyumba zosungiramo katundu.
Chifukwa chomwe takhala tikulimbikitsa ndichakuti zotsatira za Coronavirus zili paliponse. Makampani opanga zozimitsa moto a 1.3G ndi 1.4S, komanso makampani opanga zozimitsa moto a 1.4G, adzavutika ndi ndalama. Zotsatira za kachilomboka pakupanga ndi kugulitsa zinthu kuchokera ku China sizikudziwikabe. Tsoka ilo, kufalikira kwa kachilomboka kukubwera pambuyo pa ngozi yomwe inachitika mu Disembala 2019, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti mafakitale onse opanga zozimitsa moto atsekedwe ndi boma la China. Iyi ndi njira yachibadwa pakachitika ngozi yamtunduwu.

Zimene tikudziwa:
• Padzakhala kusowa kwa zinthu zozimitsa moto nyengo ino, zomwe zidzakhudza kwambiri makampani athu.
• Zinthu zomwe zikufika m'madoko aku US zidzafika mochedwa kuposa masiku onse, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale kuchedwa komanso kuchedwa kwina - mwina kumapeto kwa masika.
• Zozimitsa moto, makamaka zomwe zili kumbali ya ogula, ndi "zanyengo yambiri," zomwe zikutanthauza kuti ndalama zonse zomwe zimapezedwa pachaka chimodzi pa gawo lalikulu la makampani zimachitika mkati mwa masiku atatu mpaka anayi pafupifupi pa 4 Julayi. Palibe makampani ena omwe akukumana ndi bizinesi ya "nyengo yambiri" yotere.
 
Zotsatira zomwe zingachitike pa zozimitsa moto zaukadaulo za 1.3G ndi 1.4S:
• Kuchepa kwa katundu wochokera ku China mwina kungayambitse kukwera kwa ndalama, chifukwa makampani ayenera kupeza mayiko ena kuti apereke katundu.
• Ngakhale kuti ziwonetsero zazikulu zokondwerera Tsiku la Ufulu Wachibadwidwe zikuyembekezeka kupitirira, pakhoza kukhala zipolopolo zochepa zoponyedwa chifukwa bajeti ikupitirirabe. Makampani ambiri akuluakulu owonetsera amakhala ndi zinthu zambiri chaka ndi chaka, koma pazinthu zomwe zilipo chaka chino, angafunike kugwiritsa ntchito zinthu zapamwamba kwambiri. Zipolopolozo zidzakhala zabwino koma zidzawononga ndalama zambiri. Izi zikutanthauza kuti popanda bajeti yowonjezera, ziwonetsero za zophulitsa moto zitha kukhala ndi zipolopolo zochepa zoponyedwa.
• Ziwonetsero zazing'ono za anthu ammudzi zingavutike kwambiri kapena zisachitike konse. Nthawi zambiri ziwonetsero ngati izi zimachitika ndi makampani ang'onoang'ono owonetsera omwe mwina alibe zinthu zambiri zonyamulira. Kusowa kwa zinthu chaka chino kungakhale koopsa kwambiri.
 
Zotsatira zomwe zingachitike pa zozimitsa moto za ogwiritsa ntchito 1.4G:
• Kuchepa kwa katundu wochokera ku China kudzapangitsa kuti zinthu zisamayende bwino.
• Kusowa kwa zinthu zomwe zili m'sitolo kudzawonjezera ndalama zomwe anthu onse omwe akukhudzidwa angagwiritse ntchito—ogulitsa zinthu kunja, ogulitsa zinthu zambiri, ogulitsa ndi ogula.
• China ikupereka pafupifupi 100% ya zozimitsa moto zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pamsika wa ku US. Popeza kuchedwa kumeneku kwachitika chifukwa cha Coronavirus komanso kutsekedwa kwa mafakitale komwe kunachitika kale, makampaniwa akukumana ndi chinthu chomwe sichinakumanepo nacho kale.
• Kutumiza katundu mochedwa kudzawononga chifukwa katundu ayenera kufika m'nyumba zosungiramo katundu zogulitsa zinthu zogulitsa kunja/zogulitsa zinthu zambiri milungu 6-8 isanafike tchuthi cha pa Julayi 4, kuti athe kugawidwa m'dziko lonselo panthawi yake kuti ogulitsa akhazikitse masitolo awo ndikuyamba kutsatsa malonda awo. Popeza katundu wambiri akufunika nyengo ino afika mochedwa, padzakhala zopinga zazikulu kwa ogulitsa ang'onoang'ono kuti apulumuke nyengo ino.
 
Zotsatira zachuma pa nyengo ya zozimitsa moto:
• Makampani opanga zozimitsa moto ku US akukumana ndi vuto lalikulu la zachuma. Deta ya nyengo ya 2018 ikuwonetsa kuti ndalama zonse zomwe makampani amapanga zozimitsa moto za $1.3B zagawidwa pakati pa akatswiri ($360MM) ndi ogula ($945MM). Zozimitsa moto za ogula zatsala pang'ono kupitirira $1Biliyoni yokha.
• Magulu amakampani awa adakula pa avareji ya 2.0% ndi 7.0% poyerekeza ndi 2016-2018, motsatana. Pogwiritsa ntchito kuchuluka kwa kukula kumeneko, monga momwe tikuganizira, titha kuganiza kuti ndalama zomwe amapeza chaka chino zikhala zosachepera $1.33B kugawidwa pakati pa akatswiri ($367MM) ndi ogula ($1,011MM).
• Komabe, chaka chino kukula kukuyembekezeka kukhala kwakukulu. Julayi 4 ndi Loweruka - nthawi zambiri tsiku labwino kwambiri la Julayi 4 pamakampaniwa. Poganizira kuti kuchuluka kwapakati pa kukula kuyambira Loweruka lapitalo, chaka cha Julayi 4, tikuyerekeza kuti ndalama zomwe makampaniwa amapeza pansi pa mikhalidwe yabwinobwino zitha kukhala $1.41B, zogawidwa pakati pa akatswiri ($380MM) ndi ogula ($1,031MM). • Ziyerekezo zikusonyeza kuti chaka chino chakhudzidwa ndi kukondwerera kwa Coronavirus, komwe kumabweretsa kutayika kwa phindu la 30-40%. Pankhani ya magawo amakampaniwa, tikugwiritsa ntchito mfundo yapakati ya 35%.

Kutengera ndi zomwe tadziwa, zomwe zikuyembekezeka kutayika nyengo ino ndi izi:
Ma firework a akatswiri - Ndalama zotayika: $133MM, phindu lotayika: $47MM.
Zozimitsa moto za ogula - Ndalama zotayika: $361MM, phindu lotayika $253MM.

Zotayika izi sizingawoneke zazikulu poyerekeza ndi mafakitale ena, koma ndizofunikira kwambiri kumakampani omwe ali ndi makampani akuluakulu ochepa komanso ntchito zambiri zazing'ono za "mama ndi pop". Zotsatira zake, ambiri mwa eni ake adzachotsedwa ntchito.
Tikukumana ndi kutayika, chifukwa chosowa njira yabwino yonenera, chaka chonse. Palibe nyengo yachiwiri kwa makampani ambiri opanga zozimitsa moto. Popeza vutoli likukhudza nyengo ya pa Julayi 4 mopanda kufanana, yomwe ndi gawo lalikulu la ndalama zomwe kampani yopanga zozimitsa moto imapeza, kutayika kumeneku kungakhale kwakukulu kwambiri.